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Scotland’s changing climate

  • Our climate is changing rapidly. We have already seen significant changes in our weather systems in Scotland, including more rain during the winters, and periods of drought in parts of Scotland during the summers. Our coastline is also changing, with sea level rise contributing to coastal errosion.

     

    The weather extremes we experience are also changing, with our hottest days getting hotter, and our wettest days getting wetter, as well as more intense storm events.

  • Projections show that because of the greenhouse gas emissions we have already emitted globally, our climate will continue to change in the coming years, with the impacts of climate change becoming more intense.

     

    In the long term, the amount of change that occurs will depend on how successful we are in reducing greenhouse gas emissions in Scotland and globally.

Climate change projections for Scotland – Summary

The Climate Change Projections Summary for Scotland resource provides an overview of the UK Climate Projections for Scotland. It is intended to help build common understanding of the changes to Scotland’s climate we have already experienced, and the projections of the future climate that Scotland will experience.

 

UPDATE: More recent observations of the impacts of climate change in Scotland have been provided by the Met Office than those contained in the Summary for Scotland resource below. The following information is correct as of March 2024.

 

Scotland’s 10 warmest years on record have all occurred since 1997. The average temperature for the last decade (2014-2023) was 1.02°C warmer than the 1961-1990 average, and the warmest year on record was 2022.

 

There has been an increase in rainfall over Scotland in the past few decades. The annual average rainfall in the last decade (2014-2023) was 10% wetter than the 1961-1990 average, with winters 29% wetter.

 

Mean sea level around the UK has risen by approximately 18.5cm from the start of the 20th century and the rate of sea level rise has increased over the last 30 years.

Download the Summary for Scotland

Learn more about adaptation

  • Impacts of climate change

    Understand how climate change and extreme weather events have impacted our natural environment, infrastructure, and our society

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    What is adaptation?

    Adaptation involves us preparing for both extreme weather such as storms, and more gradual changes such as when growing seasons start and end.

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  • Adaptation FAQs

    Answers to common questions about climate change adaptation

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